Although Australia has been least affected by the international financial crisis that seems to be deepening by the day, the government seems to be cautious about its financial markets as the housing prices have come to a standstill or even slump in recent months, less and less people are able to afford a house, rents tend to be soaring due to increasing demand propped up rather high immigration (according to recent news on average over 1000 persons enter Australia as permanent residents each day !) and the stocks are showing clear correlation with the international stock markets. Mortgage market has been a cause of particular concern for the government because less and less people have been borrowing in Australia lately despite a cut in the interest rate last month (Experts believe more rate cut is on the cards !)
According to latest developments, the government of Australia has announced that it would invest four billion dollars (3.32 billion US dollars) in the mortgage market in response to the global credit crunch. The move is aimed at making the banking and financial system even stronger and be ready to weather any kind of storm that may be coming due to ongoing financial crisis around the world, particulary the US. Australia, as largely believed, is not entirely immune to the crisis but is believed to be well capable of ducking its lasting impacts.
On the housing front, while house prices have dropped considerably in the last twelve months, experts tend to disagree on the actual housing market future in the next one year or so. While some believe that because of the ongoing mortgage and financial crisis and partly because house prices have been artificially inflated in some parts of the country, a housing market crash is on the cards, others believe that given the continued high demand for housing, the property market will not experience a free fall, specially in the face of low supply that has been spurred by declining credit facilities and its impact on ongoing development projects.
However, in an excellently written article I ready recently, Robert Gottleibsen, who calls himself a mere journalist but has certainly a profound understanding of the economic indicators, argues that the financial crisis, tough credit borrowing and lending market will eventually hit the developers and thereby the housing market on the whole and despite the high demand, housing prices will tumble. He compares 2008 with 1987 when the property market crashed as a result of similar circumstances. However, he does concede that because there is no glut in the housing market, the impact will be not as hard as in 1987. He believes that because Bush’s 700b dollar package for the rescue of the economy has been defeated by the American politicians, the impact is likely to be more than the previously estimated 10-15 percent drop in house prices in the next one year.
I personally believe that these are cautious times. Those are looking for a deal in housing, might be better off waiting a bit. Let the economy stablize a little and then make a wise investment decision.